Argentine Northwest
Short-Term Regional Electricity Demand Forecasting in Argentina Using LSTM Networks
This study presents the development and optimization of a deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict short-term hourly electricity demand in Córdoba, Argentina. Integrating historical consumption data with exogenous variables (climatic factors, temporal cycles, and demographic statistics), the model achieved high predictive precision, with a mean absolute percentage error of 3.20\% and a determination coefficient of 0.95. The inclusion of periodic temporal encodings and weather variables proved crucial to capture seasonal patterns and extreme consumption events, enhancing the robustness and generalizability of the model. In addition to the design and hyperparameter optimization of the LSTM architecture, two complementary analyses were carried out: (i) an interpretability study using Random Forest regression to quantify the relative importance of exogenous drivers, and (ii) an evaluation of model performance in predicting the timing of daily demand maxima and minima, achieving exact-hour accuracy in more than two-thirds of the test days and within abs(1) hour in over 90\% of cases. Together, these results highlight both the predictive accuracy and operational relevance of the proposed framework, providing valuable insights for grid operators seeking optimized planning and control strategies under diverse demand scenarios.
- South America > Argentina > Pampas > Córdoba Province > Córdoba (0.24)
- Europe > Italy (0.14)
- North America > United States > Florida (0.14)
- (12 more...)
Towards LLM Agents for Earth Observation
Kao, Chia Hsiang, Zhao, Wenting, Revankar, Shreelekha, Speas, Samuel, Bhagat, Snehal, Datta, Rajeev, Phoo, Cheng Perng, Mall, Utkarsh, Vondrick, Carl, Bala, Kavita, Hariharan, Bharath
Earth Observation (EO) provides critical planetary data for environmental monitoring, disaster management, climate science, and other scientific domains. Here we ask: Are AI systems ready for reliable Earth Observation? We introduce \datasetnamenospace, a benchmark of 140 yes/no questions from NASA Earth Observatory articles across 13 topics and 17 satellite sensors. Using Google Earth Engine API as a tool, LLM agents can only achieve an accuracy of 33% because the code fails to run over 58% of the time. We improve the failure rate for open models by fine-tuning synthetic data, allowing much smaller models (Llama-3.1-8B) to achieve comparable accuracy to much larger ones (e.g., DeepSeek-R1). Taken together, our findings identify significant challenges to be solved before AI agents can automate earth observation, and suggest paths forward. The project page is available at https://iandrover.github.io/UnivEarth.
- South America > Argentina > Argentine Northwest > Salta Province (0.04)
- Asia > China (0.04)
- Africa > Middle East > Somalia (0.04)
- (7 more...)
- Energy (0.47)
- Government > Space Agency (0.36)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.36)
Attention is all you need for an improved CNN-based flash flood susceptibility modeling. The case of the ungauged Rheraya watershed, Morocco
Elghouat, Akram, Algouti, Ahmed, Algouti, Abdellah, Baid, Soukaina
Effective flood hazard management requires evaluating and predicting flash flood susceptibility. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are commonly used for this task but face issues like gradient explosion and overfitting. This study explores the use of an attention mechanism, specifically the convolutional block attention module (CBAM), to enhance CNN models for flash flood susceptibility in the ungauged Rheraya watershed, a flood prone region. We used ResNet18, DenseNet121, and Xception as backbone architectures, integrating CBAM at different locations. Our dataset included 16 conditioning factors and 522 flash flood inventory points. Performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC). Results showed that CBAM significantly improved model performance, with DenseNet121 incorporating CBAM in each convolutional block achieving the best results (accuracy = 0.95, AUC = 0.98). Distance to river and drainage density were identified as key factors. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the attention mechanism in improving flash flood susceptibility modeling and offer valuable insights for disaster management.
- Africa > Middle East > Morocco (0.40)
- Asia > Middle East > Iran > Tehran Province > Tehran (0.04)
- Asia > Bangladesh (0.04)
- (21 more...)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Performance Analysis > Accuracy (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
Solar Power Prediction Using Satellite Data in Different Parts of Nepal
Nepal, Raj Krishna, Khanal, Bibek, Ghimire, Vibek, Neupane, Kismat, Pokharel, Atul, Niraula, Kshitij, Tiwari, Baburam, Bhattarai, Nawaraj, Poudyal, Khem N., Karki, Nawaraj, Dangi, Mohan B, Biden, John
Due to the unavailability of solar irradiance data for many potential sites of Nepal, the paper proposes predicting solar irradiance based on alternative meteorological parameters. The study focuses on five distinct regions in Nepal and utilizes a dataset spanning almost ten years, obtained from CERES SYN1deg and MERRA-2. Machine learning models such as Random Forest, XGBoost, K-Nearest Neighbors, and deep learning models like LSTM and ANN-MLP are employed and evaluated for their performance. The results indicate high accuracy in predicting solar irradiance, with R-squared(R2) scores close to unity for both train and test datasets. The impact of parameter integration on model performance is analyzed, revealing the significance of various parameters in enhancing predictive accuracy. Each model demonstrates strong performance across all parameters, consistently achieving MAE values below 6, RMSE values under 10, MBE within |2|, and nearly unity R2 values. Upon removal of various solar parameters such as "Solar_Irradiance_Clear_Sky", "UVA", etc. from the datasets, the model's performance is significantly affected. This exclusion leads to considerable increases in MAE, reaching up to 82, RMSE up to 135, and MBE up to |7|. Among the models, KNN displays the weakest performance, with an R2 of 0.7582546. Conversely, ANN exhibits the strongest performance, boasting an R2 value of 0.9245877. Hence, the study concludes that Artificial Neural Network (ANN) performs exceptionally well, showcasing its versatility even under sparse data parameter conditions.
- Asia > Middle East > Republic of Türkiye (0.14)
- Africa > Nigeria (0.14)
- Asia > Nepal > Bagmati Province > Kathmandu District > Kathmandu (0.05)
- (23 more...)
- Energy > Renewable > Solar (1.00)
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
Extracting Multi-valued Relations from Language Models
Singhania, Sneha, Razniewski, Simon, Weikum, Gerhard
The widespread usage of latent language representations via pre-trained language models (LMs) suggests that they are a promising source of structured knowledge. However, existing methods focus only on a single object per subject-relation pair, even though often multiple objects are correct. To overcome this limitation, we analyze these representations for their potential to yield materialized multi-object relational knowledge. We formulate the problem as a rank-then-select task. For ranking candidate objects, we evaluate existing prompting techniques and propose new ones incorporating domain knowledge. Among the selection methods, we find that choosing objects with a likelihood above a learned relation-specific threshold gives a 49.5% F1 score. Our results highlight the difficulty of employing LMs for the multi-valued slot-filling task and pave the way for further research on extracting relational knowledge from latent language representations.
- North America > United States > Minnesota > Hennepin County > Minneapolis (0.14)
- Europe > Italy (0.05)
- Europe > France (0.05)
- (83 more...)
A comparison of different types of Niching Genetic Algorithms for variable selection in solar radiation estimation
Bustos, Jorge, Jimenez, Victor A., Will, Adrian
Variable selection problems generally present more than a single solution and, sometimes, it is worth to find as many solutions as possible. The use of Evolutionary Algorithms applied to this kind of problem proves to be one of the best methods to find optimal solutions. Moreover, there are variants designed to find all or almost all local optima, known as Niching Genetic Algorithms (NGA). There are several different NGA methods developed in order to achieve this task. The present work compares the behavior of eight different niching techniques, applied to a climatic database of four weather stations distributed in Tucuman, Argentina. The goal is to find different sets of input variables that have been used as the input variable by the estimation method. Final results were evaluated based on low estimation error and low dispersion error, as well as a high number of different results and low computational time. A second experiment was carried out to study the capability of the method to identify critical variables. The best results were obtained with Deterministic Crowding. In contrast, Steady State Worst Among Most Similar and Probabilistic Crowding showed good results but longer processing times and less ability to determine the critical factors.
- South America > Argentina > Argentine Northwest > Tucumán Province > San Miguel de Tucumán (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- Oceania > New Zealand (0.04)
- (4 more...)
Modeling Dengue Vector Population Using Remotely Sensed Data and Machine Learning
Scavuzzo, J. M., Trucco, F., Espinosa, M., Tauro, C. B., Abril, M., Scavuzzo, C. M., Frery, A. C.
Mosquitoes are vectors of many human diseases. In particular, Aedes \ae gypti (Linnaeus) is the main vector for Chikungunya, Dengue, and Zika viruses in Latin America and it represents a global threat. Public health policies that aim at combating this vector require dependable and timely information, which is usually expensive to obtain with field campaigns. For this reason, several efforts have been done to use remote sensing due to its reduced cost. The present work includes the temporal modeling of the oviposition activity (measured weekly on 50 ovitraps in a north Argentinean city) of Aedes \ae gypti (Linnaeus), based on time series of data extracted from operational earth observation satellite images. We use are NDVI, NDWI, LST night, LST day and TRMM-GPM rain from 2012 to 2016 as predictive variables. In contrast to previous works which use linear models, we employ Machine Learning techniques using completely accessible open source toolkits. These models have the advantages of being non-parametric and capable of describing nonlinear relationships between variables. Specifically, in addition to two linear approaches, we assess a Support Vector Machine, an Artificial Neural Networks, a K-nearest neighbors and a Decision Tree Regressor. Considerations are made on parameter tuning and the validation and training approach. The results are compared to linear models used in previous works with similar data sets for generating temporal predictive models. These new tools perform better than linear approaches, in particular Nearest Neighbor Regression (KNNR) performs the best. These results provide better alternatives to be implemented operatively on the Argentine geospatial Risk system that is running since 2012.
- North America > Central America (0.24)
- South America > Argentina > Argentine Northwest > Salta Province (0.04)
- Asia > India (0.04)
- (10 more...)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning > Support Vector Machines (0.70)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning > Nearest Neighbor Methods (0.70)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning > Regression (0.47)